GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-0 Alcione, with an exact score probability of 23%.

Prediction record

Final result

Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-0 Alcione

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3239.0%30.7%-8.2 pts
Draw2.9730.5%31.9%1.4 pts
Away2.9630.6%37.4%6.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.97 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.4 pts

Projected Score

Dolomiti Bellunesi 0–0 Alcione

Exact score probability: 23%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.9%

Model confidence

37.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dolomiti BellunesiWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AlcioneWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dolomiti BellunesiAlcione
33.3Attack28.9
46.5Defence67.5
35.1Form41.2
40.5Power47.9
0.68xG0.86
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