GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Albinoleffe · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-0 Albinoleffe

Original prediction

Albinoleffe

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6034.8%31.1%-3.6 pts
Draw2.9031.2%30.1%-1.1 pts
Away2.6634.0%38.8%4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–113%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Albinoleffe

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Albinoleffe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dolomiti BellunesiWDDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlbinoleffeLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dolomiti BellunesiAlbinoleffe
33.3Attack33.3
46.5Defence66.7
35.1Form33.3
40.5Power45.3
0.89xG1.24
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