GGOALVIO

Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 9/15/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dodoma Jiji · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Dodoma Jiji are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Mtibwa Sugar are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Dodoma Jiji hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 34.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Ligi kuu Bara, while Dodoma Jiji holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dodoma Jiji

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Dodoma Jiji has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dodoma JijiLW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Mtibwa SugarDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Dodoma JijiMtibwa Sugar
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence40.0
33.3Form23.3
45.3Power34.4
1.68xG0.75
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