Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dock Sud · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Dock Sud are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ituzaingó are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dock Sud hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Dock Sud holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dock Sud
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Dock Sud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20