Dobrudzhavs
Rilski Sportist
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dobrudzha · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dobrudzha 0-0 Rilski Sportist
Original prediction
Dobrudzha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.9% | 39.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.4% | 28.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.8% | 31.9% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Dobrudzha
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Dobrudzha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20