Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beroe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dobrudzha 0-1 Beroe, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dobrudzha 2-2 Beroe
Original prediction
Beroe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 30.0% | 26.2% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.8% | 29.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.2% | 44.5% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Dobrudzha 0–1 Beroe
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Beroe
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Beroe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DobrudzhaLDLLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BeroeDDWLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DobrudzhaBeroe
33.3Attack42.9
52.4Defence71.4
23.8Form52.4
37.0Power56.3
0.74xG1.18