Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rače · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 27.6% | 26.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 48.9% | 48.1% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Rače
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Rače has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DobrovceLWLLW
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RačeWWDWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DobrovceRače
50.0Attack36.7
10.0Defence66.7
30.0Form43.3
33.2Power51.3
1.04xG1.85