Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Dnipro-1 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Polessya are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dnipro-1 hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40