Djurgården Wvs
Piteå W
COMPLETEDSweden · Damallsvenskan · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djurgården W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Djurgården W 3-2 Piteå W
Original prediction
Djurgården W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.5% | 41.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 25.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.5% | 32.8% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Djurgården W
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Djurgården W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00