GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AIK W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Djurgården W 2-1 AIK W

Original prediction

AIK W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.1328.9%29.1%0.2 pts
Draw3.5125.8%24.3%-1.5 pts
Away2.0045.3%46.6%1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

AIK W

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

AIK W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Djurgården WWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AIK WWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Djurgården WAIK W
41.7Attack48.3
45.0Defence55.0
35.0Form56.7
40.6Power55.2
1.16xG1.54
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