Djurgardens IFvs
Orgryte IS
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/24/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djurgardens IF · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 4-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Djurgardens IF 2-2 Orgryte IS
Original prediction
Djurgardens IF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 81.4% | 79.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 7.94 | 11.7% | 12.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 13.56 | 6.9% | 8.4% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 6.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.4–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Djurgardens IF
Probability
79.5%
Model confidence
79.5%
Djurgardens IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40