GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 8/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Djurgardens IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Djurgardens IF 4-0 Mjallby AIF

Original prediction

Djurgardens IF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4763.4%66.9%3.5 pts
Draw4.5320.5%18.1%-2.4 pts
Away5.7916.1%14.9%-1.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–010%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–19%

Predicted outcome

Djurgardens IF

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

66.9%

Djurgardens IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Djurgardens IFWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Mjallby AIFLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Djurgardens IFMjallby AIF
72.5Attack50.0
62.7Defence52.1
56.9Form41.7
61.9Power49.0
2.33xG0.99
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