Djurgardens IFvs
IF Elfsborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djurgardens IF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Djurgardens IF 1-2 IF Elfsborg
Original prediction
Djurgardens IF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 61.9% | 60.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.7% | 22.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 5.67 | 16.4% | 16.8% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Djurgardens IF
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Djurgardens IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 1 · avg 3.20/0.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60