Djervvs
Sogndal II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 3 · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djerv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 4-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Djerv 2-1 Sogndal II
Original prediction
Djerv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.5% | 59.4% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.51 | 16.3% | 20.3% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 6.36 | 14.1% | 20.3% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Djerv
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Djerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DjervWWLWW
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sogndal IILLWLW
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DjervSogndal II
91.0Attack100.0
44.9Defence0.0
65.4Form0.0
66.2Power32.0
4.39xG1.83