Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Djerv 0-4 Haugesund
Original prediction
Haugesund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.66 | 7.3% | 31.3% | 24.0 pts |
| Draw | 7.82 | 11.8% | 23.3% | 11.5 pts |
| Away | 1.14 | 81.0% | 45.4% | -35.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-35.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DjervWWWWL
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HaugesundWWWLW
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DjervHaugesund
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.89xG1.61