Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diyala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Diyala 3-1 Gharraf
Original prediction
Diyala
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Diyala
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Diyala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DiyalaDL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00
BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
GharrafLW
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50
BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
DiyalaGharraf
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24