Džiugas Telšiaivs
TransINVEST Vilnius
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 10/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TransINVEST Vilnius · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Džiugas Telšiai 3-3 TransINVEST Vilnius
Original prediction
TransINVEST Vilnius
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.3% | 28.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 25.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.8% | 46.7% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
TransINVEST Vilnius
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
TransINVEST Vilnius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80