A LygaA Lyga
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 12:40
Džiugas Telšiai

Džiugas Telšiai

Home
D
12
Full time
Suduva Marijampole

Suduva Marijampole

Away
WW
Telsiai Central Stadium
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Džiugas Telšiai(45%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Suduva Marijampole
Win probability
Džiugas Telšiai
45%
Draw
25%
Suduva Marijampole
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Džiugas Telšiai
9
Suduva Marijampole
73
Defence
Džiugas Telšiai
91
Suduva Marijampole
66
Momentum
Džiugas Telšiai
33
Suduva Marijampole
100
Danger (xG)
Džiugas Telšiai
0.00
Suduva Marijampole
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Džiugas Telšiai)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Suduva Marijampole)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Džiugas Telšiai)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Suduva Marijampole)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai
DDLLL
Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole
WWD

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Džiugas Telšiai45%
Draw25%
Suduva Marijampole29%

Džiugas Telšiai leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Džiugas Telšiai head into this in A Lyga fixture at Telsiai Central Stadium in mixed form (D), while Suduva Marijampole arrive in decent form (WW). Džiugas Telšiai have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Suduva Marijampole over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Džiugas Telšiai (91/100) and Suduva Marijampole (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Džiugas Telšiai have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 4 home games. They average 0.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match. Suduva Marijampole have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Suduva Marijampole have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Džiugas Telšiai to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Džiugas Telšiai 4540%, Draw 2530%, Suduva Marijampole 2930%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Džiugas Telšiai 0Draws 01 Suduva Marijampole
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
Džiugas Telšiai
L12
Suduva Marijampole

Recent form

Džiugas Telšiai

Džiugas Telšiai

D
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L
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L
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21 Jun 2026
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L
vs Banga
16 May 2026
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Suduva Marijampole

Suduva Marijampole

W
@ Panevėžys
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W
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D
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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

GoalVio's model predicts Džiugas Telšiai to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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