Džiugas Telšiaivs
Panevėžys
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Džiugas Telšiai · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Džiugas Telšiai 2-1 Panevėžys
Original prediction
Džiugas Telšiai
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.1% | 43.2% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.6% | 26.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.3% | 30.0% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Džiugas Telšiai
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Džiugas Telšiai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60