A LygaA Lyga
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Džiugas Telšiai

Džiugas Telšiai

Home
D
00
Full time
Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris

Away
WD
Telsiai Central Stadium
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Džiugas Telšiai(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Džiugas Telšiai
44%
Draw
26%
Kauno Žalgiris
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Džiugas Telšiai
9
Kauno Žalgiris
73
Defence
Džiugas Telšiai
91
Kauno Žalgiris
46
Momentum
Džiugas Telšiai
33
Kauno Žalgiris
67
Danger (xG)
Džiugas Telšiai
0.00
Kauno Žalgiris
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Džiugas Telšiai)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Kauno Žalgiris)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Džiugas Telšiai)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Kauno Žalgiris)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai
DDLLL
Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
WWDDW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Džiugas Telšiai44%
Draw26%
Kauno Žalgiris30%

Džiugas Telšiai leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Džiugas Telšiai head into this in A Lyga fixture at Telsiai Central Stadium in mixed form (D), while Kauno Žalgiris arrive in mixed form (WD). Džiugas Telšiai have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Kauno Žalgiris over 2 games.

The model rates Džiugas Telšiai's attack at 9/100 against a 46/100 Kauno Žalgiris defence, and Kauno Žalgiris's attack at 73/100 against a 91/100 Džiugas Telšiai backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Džiugas Telšiai have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 4 home games. They average 0.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match. Kauno Žalgiris have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Džiugas Telšiai to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Džiugas Telšiai 4370%, Draw 2630%, Kauno Žalgiris 3010%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Džiugas Telšiai 0Draws 10 Kauno Žalgiris
Avg goals: 0.0
3 Jul 2026
Džiugas Telšiai
D00
Kauno Žalgiris

Recent form

Džiugas Telšiai

Džiugas Telšiai

D
vs Kauno Žalgiris
3 Jul 2026
00
D
vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
28 Jun 2026
00
L
@ Šiauliai
24 Jun 2026
12
L
vs Suduva Marijampole
21 Jun 2026
12
L
vs Banga
16 May 2026
01
Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris

W
@ Drita
14 Jul 2026
32
W
vs Panevėžys
11 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Drita
7 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Džiugas Telšiai
3 Jul 2026
00
W
@ BFA
23 Jun 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris?

GoalVio's model predicts Džiugas Telšiai to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more