Džiugas TelšiaivsKauno Žalgiris

Džiugas Telšiai are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.