Džiugas Telšiaivs
Hegelmann Litauen
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 8/31/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Džiugas Telšiai · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Džiugas Telšiai 2-2 Hegelmann Litauen
Original prediction
Džiugas Telšiai
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.7% | 57.7% | 15.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.4% | 23.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 28.9% | 18.5% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Džiugas Telšiai
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Džiugas Telšiai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60