A LygaA Lyga
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Džiugas Telšiai

Džiugas Telšiai

Home
D
00
Full time
FK Zalgiris Vilnius

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Away
WW
Telsiai Central Stadium
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Džiugas Telšiai(51%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Džiugas Telšiai
51%
Draw
24%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Džiugas Telšiai
9
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
86
Defence
Džiugas Telšiai
91
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
66
Momentum
Džiugas Telšiai
33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
100
Danger (xG)
Džiugas Telšiai
0.00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.25
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Džiugas Telšiai)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (FK Zalgiris Vilnius)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Džiugas Telšiai)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (FK Zalgiris Vilnius)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai
DDLLL
FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius
WWWDL

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Džiugas Telšiai51%
Draw24%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius26%

Džiugas Telšiai leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Džiugas Telšiai head into this in A Lyga fixture at Telsiai Central Stadium in mixed form (D), while FK Zalgiris Vilnius arrive in decent form (WW). Džiugas Telšiai have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for FK Zalgiris Vilnius over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Džiugas Telšiai (91/100) and FK Zalgiris Vilnius (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Džiugas Telšiai have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 4 home games. They average 0.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match. FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 2 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Džiugas Telšiai to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Džiugas Telšiai 5070%, Draw 2350%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2580%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Džiugas Telšiai 0Draws 10 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Avg goals: 0.0
28 Jun 2026
Džiugas Telšiai
D00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Recent form

Džiugas Telšiai

Džiugas Telšiai

D
vs Kauno Žalgiris
3 Jul 2026
00
D
vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
28 Jun 2026
00
L
@ Šiauliai
24 Jun 2026
12
L
vs Suduva Marijampole
21 Jun 2026
12
L
vs Banga
16 May 2026
01
FK Zalgiris Vilnius

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

W
vs Petrovac
16 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Petrovac
9 Jul 2026
31
W
@ Šiauliai
5 Jul 2026
30
D
@ Džiugas Telšiai
28 Jun 2026
00
L
@ Banga
20 Jun 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

GoalVio's model predicts Džiugas Telšiai to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Džiugas Telšiai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Džiugas Telšiai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Džiugas Telšiai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more