GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/12/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Džiugas Telšiai · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Džiugas Telšiai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dainava are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Džiugas Telšiai hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the A Lyga, while Džiugas Telšiai holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Džiugas Telšiai

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Džiugas Telšiai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Džiugas TelšiaiWWDLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DainavaLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Džiugas TelšiaiDainava
49.3Attack23.1
64.0Defence63.0
57.3Form28.7
58.5Power40.2
1.24xG0.46
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