GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB III - Northeast · 8/13/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karcag SE · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Diósgyőr II are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Karcag SE are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Karcag SE hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the NB III - Northeast, while Karcag SE holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karcag SE

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Karcag SE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Diósgyőr IILL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Karcag SEWLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.50/3.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
Diósgyőr IIKarcag SE
50.0Attack46.7
16.7Defence56.7
16.7Form48.9
31.3Power52.2
1.32xG1.57
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