Diriangénvs
H&H Export
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diriangén · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Diriangén 3-1 H&H Export
Original prediction
Diriangén
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.6% | 66.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.62 | 19.7% | 19.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 6.67 | 13.6% | 14.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Diriangén
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
Diriangén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60