Dire Dawa Kenema leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Dire Dawa Kenema head into this in Premier League fixture in mixed form (W), while Arba Minch Kenema arrive in mixed form (L). Dire Dawa Kenema have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Arba Minch Kenema over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Dire Dawa Kenema's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Arba Minch Kenema defence (27/100), while Arba Minch Kenema's attack is up against a solid Dire Dawa Kenema backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Dire Dawa Kenema's favour.

Dire Dawa Kenema have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Arba Minch Kenema have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Dire Dawa Kenema have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Dire Dawa Kenema to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Dire Dawa Kenema 4670%, Draw 2890%, Arba Minch Kenema 2440%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Recent form

Dire Dawa Kenema

W

vs Arba Minch Kenema

1 Jul 2026

2–1

L

vs Bahardar

15 May 2026

0–2

L

@ Negelle Arsi

11 May 2026

0–3

Arba Minch Kenema

L

@ Dire Dawa Kenema

1 Jul 2026

1–2

L

@ Fasil Ketema

22 Jun 2026

0–2

D

@ Awassa Kenema

16 May 2026

0–0

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