Diosgyori VTKvs
Szentlőrinc SE
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diosgyori VTK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Diosgyori VTK 1-1 Szentlőrinc SE
Original prediction
Diosgyori VTK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 61.4% | 44.1% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.3% | 26.9% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 5.48 | 16.3% | 29.0% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Diosgyori VTK
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Diosgyori VTK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40