GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 7/29/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Puskas Academy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Diosgyori VTK are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Puskas Academy are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Puskas Academy hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the NB I, while Puskas Academy holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Puskas Academy

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Puskas Academy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Diosgyori VTKLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Puskas AcademyDLLDL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Diosgyori VTKPuskas Academy
50.5Attack55.6
43.4Defence55.6
45.5Form66.7
47.3Power61.0
1.55xG1.72
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