Diosgyori VTKvs
Kazincbarcikai
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 10/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kazincbarcikai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Diosgyori VTK 2-2 Kazincbarcikai
Original prediction
Kazincbarcikai
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.4% | 30.9% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.1% | 25.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.5% | 43.3% | 16.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Kazincbarcikai
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Kazincbarcikai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80