Diosgyori VTKvs
Gyirmot SE
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyirmot SE · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Diosgyori VTK 2-0 Gyirmot SE
Original prediction
Gyirmot SE
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.5% | 36.0% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.7% | 26.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 30.8% | 37.5% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Gyirmot SE
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Gyirmot SE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60