Diosgyori VTKvs
Fehérvár FC
COMPLETEDHungary · Magyar Kupa · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diosgyori VTK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Diosgyori VTK 4-1 Fehérvár FC
Original prediction
Diosgyori VTK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.4% | 48.0% | 10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.3% | 24.3% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.3% | 27.8% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Diosgyori VTK
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Diosgyori VTK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40