Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 202613:00Updated today
Diosgyori VTK

Diosgyori VTK

Home
L
vs
13:00
Cigand SE

Cigand SE

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Cigand SE48%
Draw35%
Diosgyori VTK17%
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Diosgyori VTK
17%
Draw
35%
Cigand SE
48%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Diosgyori VTK
34
Cigand SE
9
Defence
Diosgyori VTK
6
Cigand SE
27
Momentum
Diosgyori VTK
0
Cigand SE
0
Danger (xG)
Diosgyori VTK
0.90
Cigand SE
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.44 xG for Diósgyőr II and 1.98 xG for Cigand SE — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Cigand SE holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Diósgyőr II finding the net in 9 of 10 matches and Cigand SE in 7 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.42 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Diosgyori VTK)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Cigand SE)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Diosgyori VTK)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Cigand SE)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK
L
Cigand SECigand SE
L

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Diosgyori VTK17%
Draw35%
Cigand SE48%

Cigand SE leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Cigand SE Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Diósgyőr II host Cigand SE in Friendlies Clubs. Diósgyőr II have recorded LLLWLL in recent matches while Cigand SE arrive with a run of WLWDWL.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.44 for Diósgyőr II and 1.98 for Cigand SE. The gap of 0.54 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Diosgyori VTK

Diosgyori VTK

L
vs Paks
16 May 2026
13
Cigand SE

Cigand SE

L
@ Kisvárda II
17 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Diosgyori VTK vs Cigand SE?

GoalVio's model predicts Cigand SE to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Diosgyori VTK vs Cigand SE?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK vs Cigand SE?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Diosgyori VTK vs Cigand SE?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more