Dinaz Vyshhorodvs
Yarud Mariupol'
SCHEDULEDUkraine · Cup · 8/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yarud Mariupol' · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dinaz Vyshhorod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Yarud Mariupol' are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and yarud Mariupol' hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Cup, favouring Yarud Mariupol' with 12.4% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yarud Mariupol'
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
12.4%
Yarud Mariupol' has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60