GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yarud Mariupol' · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dinaz Vyshhorod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Yarud Mariupol' are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and yarud Mariupol' hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Cup, favouring Yarud Mariupol' with 12.4% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yarud Mariupol'

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

12.4%

Yarud Mariupol' has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinaz VyshhorodDLLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Yarud Mariupol'LWDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Dinaz VyshhorodYarud Mariupol'
0.0Attack75.0
66.7Defence41.7
0.0Form41.7
23.7Power52.8
1.38xG1.61
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