GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/24/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Zagreb are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sparta Praha are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.8 against 45.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Dinamo Zagreb holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Zagreb

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo ZagrebDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta PrahaDDWDW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo ZagrebSparta Praha
66.7Attack61.1
16.7Defence27.8
50.0Form44.4
45.8Power45.1
2.45xG1.84
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