Dinamo Zagrebvs
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Zagreb 3-2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Original prediction
Dinamo Zagreb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 77.0% | 51.2% | -25.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.32 | 14.4% | 24.1% | 9.6 pts |
| Away | 10.72 | 8.5% | 24.7% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80