Dinamo Zagrebvs
HNK Rijeka
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HNK Rijeka
Original prediction
Dinamo Zagreb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.9% | 56.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 23.1% | 20.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.09 | 18.1% | 22.9% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40