Dinamo Zagrebvs
HNK Gorica
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HNK Gorica
Original prediction
Dinamo Zagreb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 81.0% | 56.7% | -24.3 pts |
| Draw | 7.33 | 12.6% | 23.3% | 10.7 pts |
| Away | 14.31 | 6.5% | 20.0% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80