Dinamo Zagrebvs
Fenerbahçe
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dinamo Zagreb are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Dinamo Zagreb holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00