GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Zagreb are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Dinamo Zagreb holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Zagreb

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo ZagrebWLWDW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FenerbahçeDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo ZagrebFenerbahçe
66.7Attack47.2
16.7Defence55.6
50.0Form47.2
45.8Power51.6
1.48xG1.44
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