GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/6/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celta Vigo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Zagreb are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Celta Vigo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Celta Vigo hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Celta Vigo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celta Vigo

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Celta Vigo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo ZagrebWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Celta VigoWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo ZagrebCelta Vigo
66.7Attack52.4
16.7Defence54.8
50.0Form54.8
45.8Power55.5
1.49xG1.62
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