Dinamo Zagrebvs
Anderlecht
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht
Original prediction
Anderlecht
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 47.2% | 31.1% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 26.3% | 26.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 26.5% | 42.1% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60