Dinamo Vologdavs
Iskra Smolensk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Vologda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dinamo Vologda 2-0 Iskra Smolensk, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Vologda 2-3 Iskra Smolensk
Original prediction
Dinamo Vologda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.3% | 71.0% | 16.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.5% | 18.5% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.2% | 10.5% | -9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.7 pts
Projected Score
Dinamo Vologda 2–0 Iskra Smolensk
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Vologda
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
71.0%
Dinamo Vologda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80