Dinamo Vologdavs
Chertanovo Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chertanovo Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Vologda 0-1 Chertanovo Moscow
Original prediction
Chertanovo Moscow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.15 | 21.7% | 18.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.7% | 23.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.6% | 57.9% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Chertanovo Moscow
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Chertanovo Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20