Dinamo Tiranavs
Teuta Durrës
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 10/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Teuta Durrës · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Tirana 0-2 Teuta Durrës
Original prediction
Teuta Durrës
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.9% | 32.9% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.5% | 29.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.6% | 38.1% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Teuta Durrës
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Teuta Durrës has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20