GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 9/13/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tirana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Dinamo Tirana are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FK Kukesi are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tirana hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Superliga, while Dinamo Tirana holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tirana

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Dinamo Tirana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo TiranaLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
FK KukesiLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/3.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Dinamo TiranaFK Kukesi
38.9Attack28.7
60.2Defence48.1
43.5Form25.0
49.4Power36.7
1.35xG0.60
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