UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 9 July 2026Last updated 12:41
Dinamo Tirana

Dinamo Tirana

Home
WL
01
Full time
FC Astana

FC Astana

Away
LW
Elbasan Arena
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Dinamo Tirana(41%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: FC Astana
Win probability
Dinamo Tirana
41%
Draw
26%
FC Astana
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Dinamo Tirana
73
FC Astana
34
Defence
Dinamo Tirana
66
FC Astana
27
Momentum
Dinamo Tirana
50
FC Astana
50
Danger (xG)
Dinamo Tirana
1.80
FC Astana
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Dinamo Tirana)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (FC Astana)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Dinamo Tirana)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FC Astana)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana
WLWW
FC AstanaFC Astana
LWWWD

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Dinamo Tirana41%
Draw26%
FC Astana33%

Dinamo Tirana leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Dinamo Tirana head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Elbasan Arena in mixed form (WL), while FC Astana arrive in mixed form (LW). Dinamo Tirana have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for FC Astana over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Dinamo Tirana's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable FC Astana defence (27/100), while FC Astana's attack is up against a solid Dinamo Tirana backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Dinamo Tirana's favour.

Dinamo Tirana have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. FC Astana have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 2 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Dinamo Tirana to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Dinamo Tirana 4128%, Draw 2572%, FC Astana 3300%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Dinamo Tirana 1Draws 01 FC Astana
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/2
16 Jul 2026
Dinamo Tirana
W41
FC Astana
9 Jul 2026
Dinamo Tirana
L01
FC Astana

Recent form

Dinamo Tirana

Dinamo Tirana

W
@ FC Astana
16 Jul 2026
41
L
vs FC Astana
9 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
16 May 2026
10
W
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
13 May 2026
32
FC Astana

FC Astana

L
vs Dinamo Tirana
16 Jul 2026
14
W
vs Aktobe
12 Jul 2026
32
W
@ Dinamo Tirana
9 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Zhenys
3 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Zhenys
28 Jun 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana?

GoalVio's model predicts Dinamo Tirana to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more