Dinamo Tiranavs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 10/25/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Tirana 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Original prediction
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.34 | 26.9% | 26.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.1% | 27.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.0% | 45.9% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80