Dinamo Tiranavs
AF Elbasani
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 9/6/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Tirana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dinamo Tirana 0-0 AF Elbasani, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Tirana 2-1 AF Elbasani
Original prediction
Dinamo Tirana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.8% | 39.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 29.9% | 30.7% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.2% | 29.6% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Projected Score
Dinamo Tirana 0–0 AF Elbasani
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Tirana
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Dinamo Tirana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80