UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:13
Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi

Home
DW
11
Full time
US Mondorf-les-bains

US Mondorf-les-bains

Away
DL
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Dinamo Tbilisi(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Dinamo Tbilisi
46%
Draw
26%
US Mondorf-les-bains
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Dinamo Tbilisi
54
US Mondorf-les-bains
34
Defence
Dinamo Tbilisi
66
US Mondorf-les-bains
46
Momentum
Dinamo Tbilisi
67
US Mondorf-les-bains
17
Danger (xG)
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.35
US Mondorf-les-bains
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Dinamo Tbilisi)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (US Mondorf-les-bains)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Dinamo Tbilisi)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (US Mondorf-les-bains)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi
DWDLW
US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains
DLW

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Dinamo Tbilisi46%
Draw26%
US Mondorf-les-bains28%

Dinamo Tbilisi leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Dinamo Tbilisi head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in mixed form (DW), while US Mondorf-les-bains arrive in mixed form (DL). Dinamo Tbilisi have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for US Mondorf-les-bains over 2 games.

The model rates Dinamo Tbilisi's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 US Mondorf-les-bains defence, and US Mondorf-les-bains's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Dinamo Tbilisi backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Dinamo Tbilisi have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home. US Mondorf-les-bains have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Dinamo Tbilisi have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Dinamo Tbilisi to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Dinamo Tbilisi 4649%, Draw 2558%, US Mondorf-les-bains 2793%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Dinamo Tbilisi 1Draws 10 US Mondorf-les-bains
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 2/2
16 Jul 2026
Dinamo Tbilisi
D11
US Mondorf-les-bains
9 Jul 2026
Dinamo Tbilisi
W21
US Mondorf-les-bains

Recent form

Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi

D
vs US Mondorf-les-bains
16 Jul 2026
11
W
@ US Mondorf-les-bains
9 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Dila
1 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Saburtalo
27 Jun 2026
01
W
vs Saburtalo
16 May 2026
20
US Mondorf-les-bains

US Mondorf-les-bains

D
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
16 Jul 2026
11
L
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
9 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Union Titus Petange
17 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

GoalVio's model predicts Dinamo Tbilisi to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Dinamo Tbilisi vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Tbilisi vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dinamo Tbilisi vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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