GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 3/4/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Dinamo Tbilisi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Samtredia are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLDW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tbilisi hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dinamo Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tbilisi

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo TbilisiWLWDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SamtrediaWLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/1.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
Dinamo TbilisiSamtredia
55.0Attack48.2
63.3Defence42.1
56.7Form31.6
59.5Power40.8
2.17xG0.92
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